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Red59
306516.0
599016.0
321115.5
Blue53
513510.1
333932.7
15809.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455002060801001201405953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#14
16.01.4
13.615.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
blue by 16.7
32.70.3
28.228.4
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
Second
5990
#13
16.01.4
14.716.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
red by 5.9
5135
#29
10.10.3
6.97.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
Third
3211
#11
15.51.4
13.314.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.1
End1.4
red by 5.7
1580
#19
9.90.3
9.810.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed