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Red36
263015.9
706712.7
15766.7
Blue38
432015.0
306516.0
26796.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383702060803638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#28
15.90.1
14.214.3
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 0.1
3065
#14
16.01.8
15.513.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
Second
7067
#18
12.70.1
12.913.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 2.3
15.01.8
8.76.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
1576
#27
6.70.1
7.67.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Level
2679
#30
6.81.8
9.88.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed