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Red43
673818.5
331612.9
97389.6
Blue71
15809.9
571520.7
157722.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52534550556065704371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
18.51.0
20.119.1
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
blue by 3.5
22.02.4
20.122.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Second
3316
#21
12.90.9
13.913.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 7.8
20.72.6
16.519.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
Third
9738
#24
9.60.9
13.012.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 0.3
1580
#19
9.92.4
11.213.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed