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Red75
157722.0
157422.0
15766.7
Blue64
432015.0
43387.9
599016.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801001207564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.3
22.622.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 6.0
5990
#13
16.00.2
15.716.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Second
22.00.3
22.522.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
red by 7.0
15.00.2
14.715.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
1576
#27
6.70.3
6.46.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 1.2
4338
#22
7.90.2
7.77.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2