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Red44
673818.5
571520.7
97389.6
Blue75
674016.4
565420.7
706712.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54544550556065704475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
20.820.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
blue by 0.1
5654
#10
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
6738
#12
18.50.1
18.618.5
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
red by 2.1
16.40.2
16.116.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Third
9738
#24
9.60.1
9.79.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 3.1
7067
#18
12.70.2
12.412.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0