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Red79
610411.1
19544.5
307523.4
Blue3
46616.3
56359.8
67417.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3227010204050607080793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.8
14.617.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 13.6
5635
#20
9.82.5
8.05.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Second
6104
#13
11.12.8
8.311.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 3.9
6741
#27
7.22.5
6.64.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Third
1954
#26
4.52.8
5.78.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
blue by 1.7
4661
#30
6.32.5
10.58.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed