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Red63
165726.1
616819.1
221210.4
Blue21
459014.1
383512.1
47444.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454020305060706321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.8
15.217.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
red by 12.0
4590
#22
14.13.1
14.111.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
Second
19.11.8
13.114.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 7.0
3835
#14
12.13.1
11.38.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Third
2212
#16
10.41.8
11.913.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
red by 6.1
4744
#19
4.23.1
11.28.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed