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Red28
56359.8
458610.0
973911.4
Blue43
82237.7
561423.3
46616.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383710203050602843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9739
#17
11.41.8
10.89.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 11.8
23.30.4
15.015.4
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
10.01.8
12.010.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 2.3
8223
#24
7.70.4
10.210.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
5635
#20
9.81.8
9.88.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 3.5
4661
#30
6.30.4
10.110.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed