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Red58
459014.1
93049.2
616819.1
Blue60
555418.6
561423.3
703921.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801005860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.12.6
14.817.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 4.1
23.31.4
15.416.9
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
4590
#22
14.12.6
11.013.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
blue by 7.3
21.41.4
17.919.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Third
9304
#29
9.22.6
6.99.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 9.4
5554
#10
18.61.4
13.715.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed