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Red9
82237.7
19437.3
44165.6
Blue49
221210.4
595127.4
973911.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25540406080100949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8223
#24
7.71.9
10.68.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 19.6
27.40.1
23.023.1
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
Second
1943
#25
7.31.9
9.87.9
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 4.1
9739
#17
11.40.2
9.09.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
4416
#23
5.61.9
5.83.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 4.7
2212
#16
10.40.2
13.713.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed