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Red56
223129.8
47444.2
711210.6
Blue39
93049.2
703921.4
56359.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433702060801005639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.7
21.322.0
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
red by 8.3
21.40.5
19.419.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
7112
#18
10.60.7
10.411.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
red by 0.8
5635
#20
9.80.5
5.56.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Third
4744
#19
4.20.7
6.47.0
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 4.9
9304
#29
9.20.5
9.510.0
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed