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Red36
610411.1
59284.8
165726.1
Blue45
561423.3
616819.1
19544.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42481020306070803645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.5
19.018.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
red by 2.8
23.30.2
16.917.1
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
6104
#13
11.10.5
11.110.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 8.1
19.10.2
17.417.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Third
5928
#28
4.80.5
8.58.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
red by 0.3
1954
#26
4.50.2
8.58.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed