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Red34
973911.4
459014.1
44165.6
Blue27
67417.2
598711.2
458610.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29340102040506070803427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#22
14.10.8
13.614.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
red by 3.0
5987
#11
11.20.6
13.112.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Second
9739
#17
11.40.8
9.19.9
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 1.4
10.00.6
13.312.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
4416
#23
5.60.8
3.94.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 1.5
6741
#27
7.20.6
4.13.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed