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Red42
338811.8
209619.0
221210.4
Blue69
307523.4
82237.7
595127.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020801001201401604269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#15
19.00.6
15.514.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 8.4
27.40.7
23.123.7
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
Second
3388
#21
11.80.6
11.410.8
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
blue by 11.6
23.41.1
17.518.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
2212
#16
10.40.6
13.813.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
red by 2.7
8223
#24
7.71.1
8.79.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed