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Red45
19437.3
19544.5
46616.3
Blue67
193720.3
93049.2
67417.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30330204060801001201404567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#25
7.30.8
9.18.3
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 12.9
20.32.0
15.517.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
4661
#30
6.30.8
9.28.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 2.9
9304
#29
9.22.0
10.012.0
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Third
1954
#26
4.50.8
8.77.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
blue by 2.6
6741
#27
7.22.0
3.55.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed