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Red30
209619.0
47444.2
56359.8
Blue31
338811.8
458610.0
307523.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490204060801003031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#15
19.00.3
14.814.5
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 4.4
23.41.4
18.517.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
5635
#20
9.80.3
6.15.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
blue by 2.0
3388
#21
11.81.4
10.89.3
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
4744
#19
4.20.3
7.06.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 5.8
10.01.4
12.711.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed