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Red43
44165.6
561423.3
784517.1
Blue60
610411.1
221210.4
223129.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415202060801004360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.0
17.117.1
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 6.5
29.81.0
22.023.0
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Second
7845
#12
17.10.0
16.416.4
Auto8.7
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 6.1
6104
#13
11.11.0
10.611.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
4416
#23
5.60.0
4.74.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 4.7
2212
#16
10.41.0
13.214.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed