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Red11
19437.3
610411.1
973911.4
Blue71
223129.8
82237.7
209619.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305602040801001171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9739
#17
11.42.1
10.18.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 18.3
29.82.0
23.025.0
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Second
6104
#13
11.12.1
11.69.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 7.9
2096
#15
19.02.0
14.516.5
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Third
1943
#25
7.32.1
8.36.2
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 0.4
8223
#24
7.72.0
10.312.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed