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Red56
67417.2
165726.1
307523.4
Blue72
703921.4
784517.1
47444.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464630405060705672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.6
19.020.6
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
red by 4.7
21.42.3
18.320.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
23.41.6
17.118.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 6.2
7845
#12
17.12.3
16.418.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Third
6741
#27
7.21.6
5.57.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 2.9
4744
#19
4.22.3
6.79.0
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned