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Red54
598711.2
711210.6
383512.1
Blue30
19544.5
555418.6
338811.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3841102030506070805430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#14
12.10.8
9.510.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 6.5
5554
#10
18.60.9
19.318.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
Second
5987
#11
11.20.8
10.911.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 0.6
3388
#21
11.80.9
9.38.4
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
7112
#18
10.60.8
13.914.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
red by 6.0
1954
#26
4.50.9
7.97.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed