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Red38
459014.1
595127.4
193720.3
Blue38
561423.3
56359.8
221210.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6637020801001201403838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.4
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
red by 4.1
23.3
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
20.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
red by 9.9
2212
#16
10.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Third
4590
#22
14.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
red by 4.4
5635
#20
9.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed