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Red31
221210.4
598711.2
555418.6
Blue37
973911.4
193720.3
711210.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5044102030406070803137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#10
18.62.6
18.315.7
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
blue by 1.7
20.30.9
17.516.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
5987
#11
11.22.6
11.89.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 0.2
9739
#17
11.40.9
8.07.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
2212
#16
10.42.6
14.211.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 0.2
7112
#18
10.60.9
14.813.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed