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Red48
19437.3
56359.8
165726.1
Blue28
59284.8
67417.2
703921.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373715202530404550554828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.5
20.622.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
red by 4.7
21.41.2
20.619.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
5635
#20
9.81.5
5.77.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 2.6
6741
#27
7.21.2
7.15.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Third
1943
#25
7.31.5
6.27.7
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
red by 2.5
5928
#28
4.81.2
6.25.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed