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Red51
59284.8
209619.0
459014.1
Blue44
784517.1
223129.8
46616.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4346102030506070805144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#15
19.00.3
15.315.6
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 10.8
29.80.3
16.216.5
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Second
4590
#22
14.10.3
13.814.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
blue by 3.0
7845
#12
17.10.3
15.415.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Third
5928
#28
4.80.3
10.110.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
blue by 1.5
4661
#30
6.30.3
9.810.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed