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Red31
82237.7
67417.2
616819.1
Blue24
711210.6
221210.4
93049.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35361020304050603124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.2
13.313.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 8.6
7112
#18
10.60.8
10.79.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Second
8223
#24
7.70.2
10.410.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 2.7
2212
#16
10.40.8
12.711.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Third
6741
#27
7.20.2
9.29.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 2.0
9304
#29
9.20.8
8.27.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed