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Red59
44165.6
223129.8
383512.1
Blue42
703921.4
973911.4
338811.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414002060801001205942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.82.3
23.625.9
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
red by 8.3
21.40.1
19.419.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
3835
#14
12.12.3
9.411.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 0.4
3388
#21
11.80.1
9.59.6
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
4416
#23
5.62.3
4.06.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 5.8
9739
#17
11.40.1
7.17.2
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed