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Red44
209619.0
598711.2
93049.2
Blue53
595127.4
59284.8
56359.8
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060801004453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#15
19.00.5
18.218.7
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 8.4
27.41.1
25.226.3
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
Second
5987
#11
11.20.5
10.010.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 1.4
5635
#20
9.81.7
8.19.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Third
9304
#29
9.20.5
6.06.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
red by 4.4
5928
#28
4.81.6
3.04.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed