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Red27
221210.4
67417.2
459014.1
Blue34
383512.1
193720.3
610411.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364302060802734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#22
14.11.2
14.713.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
blue by 6.1
20.30.4
17.417.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
2212
#16
10.41.2
11.510.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 1.8
3835
#14
12.10.4
11.611.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Third
6741
#27
7.21.1
7.36.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 3.9
6104
#13
11.10.4
9.08.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed