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Red33
555418.6
82237.7
338811.8
Blue59
784517.1
19437.3
458610.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060803359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#10
18.60.3
16.616.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
red by 1.4
7845
#12
17.10.6
17.918.6
Auto8.7
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Second
3388
#21
11.80.3
9.69.3
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
red by 1.7
10.00.6
6.87.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
8223
#24
7.70.3
7.97.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 0.4
1943
#25
7.30.6
7.68.2
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned