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Red77
616819.1
307523.4
223129.8
Blue33
44165.6
165726.1
46616.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions773402040601001207733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
25.926.2
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
red by 3.7
26.10.4
23.022.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
Second
23.40.3
20.320.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 17.1
4661
#30
6.30.4
6.25.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Third
19.10.3
17.918.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 13.5
4416
#23
5.60.4
6.35.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed