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Red43
711210.6
703921.4
19544.5
Blue45
47444.2
561423.3
973911.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423001020506070804345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.5
19.519.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
blue by 1.8
23.31.7
17.218.9
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
7112
#18
10.60.5
11.410.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
blue by 0.9
9739
#17
11.41.6
7.28.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
1954
#26
4.50.5
5.34.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
red by 0.3
4744
#19
4.21.6
4.15.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed