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Red56
561423.3
458610.0
383512.1
Blue28
82237.7
784517.1
59284.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060805628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.1
18.919.1
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 6.1
7845
#12
17.10.7
18.617.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Second
3835
#14
12.10.1
11.211.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 4.4
8223
#24
7.70.7
7.66.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
10.00.1
7.47.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 5.2
5928
#28
4.80.7
4.63.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed