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Red64
703921.4
46616.3
595127.4
Blue12
221210.4
47444.2
19544.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6217040801006412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.9
26.327.1
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
red by 17.0
2212
#16
10.41.3
10.39.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Second
21.41.1
19.020.2
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 16.9
1954
#26
4.51.2
4.83.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
Third
4661
#30
6.31.1
5.86.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 2.0
4744
#19
4.21.2
5.74.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed