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Red45
56359.8
338811.8
193720.3
Blue32
711210.6
459014.1
19437.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41350102030506070804532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.4
17.017.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
red by 6.1
4590
#22
14.10.5
13.512.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
Second
3388
#21
11.80.3
9.39.7
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
red by 1.2
7112
#18
10.60.5
10.910.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Third
5635
#20
9.80.4
9.910.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 2.4
1943
#25
7.30.5
8.27.7
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed