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Red72
165726.1
338811.8
561423.3
Blue39
555418.6
221210.4
610411.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5938020801007239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.7
22.324.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
red by 7.5
5554
#10
18.60.2
17.617.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
Second
23.31.9
19.120.9
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 12.2
6104
#13
11.10.2
10.09.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
3388
#21
11.81.7
9.711.4
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.1
red by 1.4
2212
#16
10.40.2
9.08.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed