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Red15
47444.2
44165.6
59284.8
Blue42
193720.3
598711.2
82237.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13440203040506070801542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4416
#23
5.60.9
7.26.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 14.6
20.30.5
17.417.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
5928
#28
4.80.9
3.93.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
blue by 6.4
5987
#11
11.20.5
12.012.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
4744
#19
4.20.9
4.53.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 3.5
8223
#24
7.70.5
6.97.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed