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Red94
165726.1
555418.6
458610.0
Blue44
93049.2
19437.3
223129.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555002040801009444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.8
24.025.9
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
blue by 3.7
29.80.1
28.928.8
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Second
5554
#10
18.61.8
17.419.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
red by 9.4
9304
#29
9.20.1
9.39.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Third
10.01.8
7.99.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 2.7
1943
#25
7.30.1
7.47.3
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed