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Red73
703921.4
307523.4
44165.6
Blue53
561423.3
610411.1
459014.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55490204060801007353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
21.921.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 0.1
23.30.7
20.921.6
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
21.40.0
20.520.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 7.3
4590
#22
14.10.7
14.214.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
Third
4416
#23
5.60.0
6.36.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 5.5
6104
#13
11.10.6
9.810.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed