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Red74
706715.5
169047.8
784522.0
Blue48
15807.7
306522.3
51356.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843302040601001201401607448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.1
40.340.3
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 25.5
3065
#10
22.30.1
16.016.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Second
7845
#16
22.00.1
17.117.1
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 14.3
1580
#29
7.70.1
9.910.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Third
15.50.1
12.712.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
red by 8.8
5135
#28
6.70.1
10.110.2
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed