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Red62
717711.7
333941.2
15769.6
Blue24
93035.4
308315.1
157718.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534001001502006224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.9
32.733.6
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 22.5
1577
#23
18.71.6
22.020.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Second
7177
#21
11.70.9
6.67.6
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 3.4
3083
#12
15.11.6
11.09.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
1576
#14
9.60.9
6.77.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
red by 4.2
9303
#26
5.41.6
4.73.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed