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Red66
674023.8
157428.2
974017.7
Blue34
62304.0
331618.7
44165.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6122040801001206634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.4
22.022.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 9.5
3316
#25
18.70.5
12.912.4
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
23.80.4
16.416.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 18.5
4416
#20
5.30.5
5.65.1
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
Third
17.70.4
12.012.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 13.7
6230
#22
4.00.5
6.35.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed