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Red45
974017.7
674023.8
157718.7
Blue81
169047.8
93035.4
563514.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546130405070804581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.3
16.816.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
blue by 24.0
47.81.8
40.342.0
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Second
1577
#23
18.70.3
20.420.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
red by 3.8
5635
#15
14.92.0
9.811.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
Third
17.70.3
12.512.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 12.3
9303
#26
5.41.8
4.46.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed