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Red71
674023.8
598719.3
674111.3
Blue51
157718.7
706715.5
331618.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375402060801007151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.82.4
16.518.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 5.0
3316
#25
18.70.3
12.713.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
19.32.4
12.314.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
red by 0.6
1577
#23
18.70.3
20.120.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Third
6741
#24
11.32.4
7.09.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.4
blue by 4.2
15.50.3
13.613.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed