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Red79
44165.3
529115.0
169047.8
Blue64
673820.9
565422.3
563514.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71572040801001201407964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.7
42.042.8
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 25.4
5654
#11
22.30.6
21.021.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
5291
#19
15.01.2
15.416.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 5.9
6738
#13
20.90.6
20.921.5
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
Third
4416
#20
5.30.7
5.46.1
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
blue by 9.6
5635
#15
14.90.6
11.712.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed