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Red72
333941.2
571521.6
81758.5
Blue13
51356.7
15769.6
598719.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions792802040601001201407213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.2
35.335.5
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 21.9
19.31.3
14.613.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Second
21.60.2
21.621.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 12.0
1576
#14
9.61.3
7.25.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Third
8175
#27
8.50.2
8.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 1.8
5135
#28
6.71.3
10.08.7
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed