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Red54
674111.3
93035.4
673820.9
Blue58
26798.7
157718.7
433815.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414301001505458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#13
20.90.8
21.522.3
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
red by 2.2
1577
#23
18.70.0
20.420.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Second
6741
#24
11.30.8
9.310.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.4
blue by 4.3
4338
#18
15.70.0
8.98.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
9303
#26
5.40.8
6.27.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
blue by 3.4
2679
#17
8.70.0
9.19.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed