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Red59
81758.5
169047.8
706715.5
Blue46
308315.1
157428.2
44165.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7739020601001201405946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.4
42.842.4
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 19.6
28.20.4
25.025.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Second
15.50.4
13.913.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
red by 0.4
3083
#12
15.10.4
9.19.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
8175
#27
8.50.4
8.78.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 3.2
4416
#20
5.30.4
6.16.5
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed