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Red72
706715.5
565422.3
674023.8
Blue53
157718.7
15807.7
157428.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57672040801001207253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
18.319.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
blue by 4.4
28.20.4
25.425.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Second
5654
#11
22.30.8
21.222.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
red by 3.7
1577
#23
18.70.4
20.420.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Third
15.50.8
13.514.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
red by 7.8
1580
#29
7.70.4
13.312.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned