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Red51
571521.6
784522.0
598719.3
Blue59
563514.9
974017.7
383521.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6442020801001205159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#16
22.00.3
18.918.6
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 0.5
21.51.2
16.017.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Second
21.60.3
23.022.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 3.9
17.71.2
13.614.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Third
19.30.3
13.413.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
red by 4.4
5635
#15
14.91.2
11.212.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed