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Red50
674111.3
26798.7
306522.3
Blue54
674023.8
15769.6
433815.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4338102030506070805054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#10
22.30.2
19.219.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
blue by 1.5
23.81.3
19.120.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
6741
#24
11.30.2
10.19.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.4
blue by 4.3
4338
#18
15.71.3
10.111.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
2679
#17
8.70.2
8.88.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 0.8
1576
#14
9.61.3
6.07.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed